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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
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Port Vale
Salford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Crewe
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colkett (34')
Agyei (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere have already defeated Crewe twice this season, running out comfortable 3-0 winners in the home clash, so there is no reason why they should not be able to secure another victory on Sunday. The Rovers have had a solid defence throughout the season, and so they are likely to keep a clean sheet, but their lack of goals means they should only win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)60.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.16%
    Tranmere Rovers 47.27%
    Draw 27.56%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.27%

How you voted: Crewe vs Tranmere

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Tranmere Rovers
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Crewe
Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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