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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Crawley Town |
45.58% ( -0.38) | 24.19% ( 0.16) | 30.23% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% ( -0.61) | 43.73% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.88% ( -0.6) | 66.12% ( 0.6) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.4) | 19.35% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.66) | 51.13% ( 0.66) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.61% ( -0.16) | 27.39% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.14% ( -0.2) | 62.86% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |