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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Crawley Town

Barnsley
3 - 0
Crawley

Russell (11'), Watters (51'), Keillor-Dunn (54')
Gent (45+1'), McCarthy (64'), Cosgrove (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

John-Jules (45+1'), Baker (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Wrexham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 4-4 Crawley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Crawley Town

With Crawley having had an extended rest period ahead of this game, it remains to be seen whether it could work in their favour. Nevertheless, we are backing Barnsley to come through in relatively comfortable fashion, even if they concede to the struggling away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCrawley Town
45.58% (-0.379 -0.38) 24.19% (0.159 0.16) 30.23% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 58.56% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.608 -0.61)43.73% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)66.12% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.401 -0.4)19.35% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.662 -0.66)51.13% (0.66 0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)27.39% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.205 -0.2)62.86% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 45.58%
    Crawley Town 30.23%
    Draw 24.19%
BarnsleyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Crawley

Barnsley
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-3
Barnsley

Forster (65'), Connell (84')
Pines (12'), Phillips (23', 45+2')
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')
Feb 14, 2015 3pm
Crawley
5-1
Barnsley
McLeod (45', 73', 83'), Bradley (48'), Elliott (59')
Fowler (45'), Wordsworth (63')
Hemmings (65')
Scowen (52'), Cranie (58')
Aug 9, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
0-1
Crawley

Rose (22')
Jennings (61')
McLeod (82')
Young (29'), Smith (45'), McLeod (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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