Aside from their surprise defeat at home to Werder Bremen earlier this month, Bayern Munich have been almost perfect at the Allianz Arena this season and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in front of their own supporters this weekend.
Borussia Monchengladbach are no pushovers, though, and have enjoyed recent success against the Bavarians, but Tuchel's title hopefuls should ultimately find a way to get the job done, even though they are missing a few key players through injury.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
1.99) 
-1.17) 
