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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Stoke logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City

Although Eustace could be in the dugout in time for Saturday, we do not expect a new manager bounce immediately for Blackburn this weekend. Stoke were woeful in the Leicester defeat, but with a couple of alterations to the XI they should be good enough for three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
46.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.12%30.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 46.16%
    Stoke City 30.72%
    Draw 23.11%
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Stoke

Blackburn Rovers
48.6%
Draw
18.9%
Stoke City
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Wharton (32'), Paul van Hecke (34')
Brown (4')
Maja (23'), Smith (56')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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