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Arouca
Benfica
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Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Chaves

Braga
1 - 1
Chaves

Zalazar (52')
Jorge (28'), Ruiz (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitoria (64')
Ribeiro (27'), Guzzo (33'), Vitoria (70'), Correia (90+7'), Phete (90+10')
Vitoria (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Chaves

Braga will be full of confidence following their crowning as Taca da Liga champions, however they must warn against complacency as the division's bottom side come to town. Chaves have failed to win an away match since October 1, and we cannot envisage the Flavienses changing their fortunes on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawChaves
64.46% (0.431 0.43) 20.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 15.52% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-1.005 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.828 -0.83)42.06% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.835 -0.84)64.46% (0.835 0.84)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.13 -0.13)12.32% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.271 -0.27)38.12% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-1.058 -1.06)39.93% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.985 -0.98)76.59% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.45%
    Chaves 15.52%
    Draw 20.02%
BragaDrawChaves
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Chaves

Braga
90.5%
Draw
6.3%
Chaves
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-4
Braga
Hernandez (43', 53')
Pinho (3'), Sanca (67')
Nogueira (80')
Bruma (16'), Horta (58'), Banza (81'), Pizzi (90+6')
Niakate (2'), Fonte (90+11')
Apr 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Chaves
1-2
Braga
Juninho (42')
Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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