Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
64.46% ( 0.43) | 20.02% ( -0.01) | 15.52% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -0.83) | 42.06% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -0.84) | 64.46% ( 0.84) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( -0.13) | 12.32% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( -0.27) | 38.12% ( 0.27) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( -1.06) | 39.93% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( -0.98) | 76.59% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.02% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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