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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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Brentford
2 - 4
Newcastle

Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United secure seventh spot in the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-2 win over Brentford on the final matchday of the 2023-24 campaign.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
37.42% (-1.155 -1.16) 23.67% (0.153 0.15) 38.9% (1.004 1)
Both teams to score 62.72% (-0.606 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (-0.776 -0.78)39.24% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.818 -0.82)61.57% (0.82 0.82)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.89800000000001 -0.9)21.16% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-1.415 -1.42)54.01% (1.417 1.42)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.139 0.14)20.44% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.221 0.22)52.89% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 37.42%
    Newcastle United 38.9%
    Draw 23.67%
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.156 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.148 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.275 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.9%

How you voted: Brentford vs Newcastle

Brentford
21.2%
Draw
19.7%
Newcastle United
59.1%
203
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-0
Brentford
Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')
> Match Report
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Brentford
1-2
Newcastle
Toney (45+1' pen.)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
> Match Report
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
5-1
Brentford
Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)
Toney (54' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Brentford
0-2
Newcastle

Ajer (45+1'), Mbeumo (84'), Janelt (90+5')
Dasilva (11')
Joelinton (33'), Willock (44')
Dubravka (68')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newcastle
3-3
Brentford
Lascelles (10'), Joelinton (39'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Wilson (46'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Toney (11'), Henry (31'), Lascelles (61' og.)
Ghoddos (42'), Norgaard (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205
> Premier League Full Table


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