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Championship header 2

Championship
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leeds logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Leeds


Dickie (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnonto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

 Despite their recent poor form, Bristol City have proven this season that they can match the bigger teams at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors may prove too difficult to stop, the end result potentially being a late win for Farke's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
29.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 46.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.027999999999992 0.03)27.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)62.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)50% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.63%
    Leeds United 46.43%
    Draw 23.94%
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.43%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leeds

Bristol City
16.2%
Draw
9.4%
Leeds United
74.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
> Preview
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-0
Bristol City
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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