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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Evans (66'), Thomas (90+4')
Taylor (21'), Evans (69'), Finley (80'), Cox (90+1'), Martin (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lane (76')
Robertson (20'), Sparkes (48'), Morrell (65'), Raggett (69'), Lane (78'), Kamara (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Portsmouth

Although Portsmouth will be targeting three points to aid their promotion bid, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Bristol Rovers side that are unbeaten in seven competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
31.89% (-0.308 -0.31) 25.49% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 42.61% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.14 0.14)48.81% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.127 0.13)70.91% (-0.128 -0.13)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.131 -0.13)28.81% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.163 -0.16)64.67% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.236 0.24)22.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.348 0.35)56.51% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.89%
    Portsmouth 42.61%
    Draw 25.49%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.89%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Portsmouth
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Portsmouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Yengi (90+2')
Morrell (16'), Lowery (17'), Towler (45+5'), Poole (64')
Thomas (24')
Finley (9'), Wilson (35'), Hoole (42')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Apr 24, 2021 1pm
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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