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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton

Brownhill (74')
Cullen (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muric (79' og.)
O'Mahony (90+7'), Veltman (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

A late own goal from Burnley goalkeeper Arijanet Muric sees the Clarets draw 1-1 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.425 -0.42) 23.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 44.14% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.335 -0.34)40.32% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.347 -0.35)62.69% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.408 -0.41)24.48% (0.415 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)58.92% (0.589 0.59)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (0.045000000000002 0.05)49.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.14%
    Draw 23.65%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brighton

Burnley
16.7%
Draw
24.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
58.9%
90
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-1
Burnley
Adingra (77')
Odobert (45')
O'Shea (14'), Taylor (66'), Odobert (72'), Redmond (86')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
0-3
Burnley

Duffy (84')
Weghorst (21'), Brownhill (40'), Lennon (69')
Cork (25'), Roberts (59'), Lennon (61'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 6, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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