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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
52.95% ( 0.49) | 24.03% ( -0.14) | 23.02% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( 0.24) | 48.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( 0.22) | 70.64% ( -0.21) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% ( 0.28) | 18.27% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.67% ( 0.47) | 49.33% ( -0.47) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.19) | 35.53% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.71% ( -0.19) | 72.29% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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