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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli

Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Napoli

After grinding out a draw with Barcelona, having both a new boss and star striker Victor Osimhen back in the fold should help Napoli to overcome Cagliari once again. The hosts have been unstable defensively, so even the champions' goal-shy attack can thrive on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
28.47% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 46.22% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)49.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.041 -0.04)71.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)68.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)21.46% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)54.49% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 28.47%
    Napoli 46.21%
    Draw 25.31%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Napoli
70.0%
70
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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