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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Salernitana

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Salernitana

Games between these teams in Serie A produce goals, and Saturday's should be no different, with Cagliari likely to eke out a marginal victory over bottom Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSalernitana
57.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.9% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.57% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.221 0.22)53.18% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.189 0.19)74.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.3% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.086000000000006 0.09)49.37% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.256 0.26)42.8% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.216 0.22)79.12% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 57.52%
    Salernitana 18.57%
    Draw 23.89%
CagliariDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Salernitana

Cagliari
66.0%
Draw
20.0%
Salernitana
14.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Salernitana
2-2
Cagliari
Dia (86', 90+5' pen.)
Kastanos (52'), Martegani (79'), Gyomber (90+11')
Luvumbo (79'), Viola (88')
Prati (71'), Zappa (80'), Deiola (89'), Makoumbou (90+5')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 36
Salernitana
1-1
Cagliari
Verdi (68' pen.)
Bohinen (55'), Zortea (84'), Radovanovic (88'), Perotti (90+6'), Gyomber (90+7')
Ribery (69')
Altare (90+9')
Pavoletti (63'), Cragno (67')
Radunovic (73')
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cagliari
1-1
Salernitana
Pavoletti (73')
Grassi (27'), Henrique (30'), Pavoletti (79')
Bonazzoli (90')
Veseli (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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