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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cambridge United

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge


Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United

While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
41.03% (-0.372 -0.37) 26.47% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.5% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.802 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.941 0.94)52.7% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.8 0.8)74.34% (-0.804 -0.8)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.232 0.23)25.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.321 0.32)60.09% (-0.327 -0.33)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.85599999999999 0.86)30.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (1.01 1.01)66.54% (-1.014 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.03%
    Cambridge United 32.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cambridge
1-0
Carlisle
Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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