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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
61.63% ( 0.16) | 20.69% ( -0.02) | 17.68% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% ( -0.11) | 41.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.48% ( -0.11) | 63.51% ( 0.11) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( 0.01) | 12.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( 0.02) | 39.2% ( -0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.27% ( -0.22) | 36.73% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.48% ( -0.22) | 73.52% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 61.63% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 17.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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