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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
40.24% ( 0.12) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.68% ( 0.01) | 43.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.28% ( 0.01) | 65.72% ( -0.02) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% ( 0.06) | 21.58% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.34% ( 0.1) | 54.67% ( -0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( -0.06) | 24.13% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( -0.08) | 58.43% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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