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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
0 - 1
Gillingham


Iandolo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-3 Colchester
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Gillingham

 This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate to get their 2024 off to a bright start. Colchester's home advantage and potentially better conversion might give them a chance in the match, but Gillingham's defensive resilience and ability to create a lot of chances might see them edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
39.71% (0.113 0.11) 26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 34.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)59.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)63.73% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 39.71%
    Gillingham 34.29%
    Draw 26%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
0-1
Colchester
Tchamadeu (26')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
 Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Group Stage
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Kennedy (53')
McKenzie (90+3')
Lintott (38'), O'Keefe (44'), MacDonald (50')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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