MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:44:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
41.65% (0.451 0.45) 21.91% (0.281 0.28) 36.44% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.52% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.62% (-1.565 -1.57)30.38% (1.572 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.35% (-1.899 -1.9)51.65% (1.906 1.91)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.471 -0.47)15.55% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.892 -0.89)44.49% (0.899 0.9)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.01 -1.01)17.68% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-1.784 -1.78)48.32% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.65%
    Notts County 36.44%
    Draw 21.91%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!