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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
41.65% (0.451 0.45) 21.91% (0.281 0.28) 36.44% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.52% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.62% (-1.565 -1.57)30.38% (1.572 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.35% (-1.899 -1.9)51.65% (1.906 1.91)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.471 -0.47)15.55% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.892 -0.89)44.49% (0.899 0.9)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.01 -1.01)17.68% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-1.784 -1.78)48.32% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.65%
    Notts County 36.44%
    Draw 21.91%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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