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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Portland Timbers

Dallas
3 - 2
Portland

Musa (49'), Burgess (61'), Paredes (87' og.)
Illarramendi (22'), Kamungo (90'), Ibeagha (90+9'), Twumasi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antony (8'), Evander (64')
Neville (23'), Evander (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-3 Portland Timbers

Even with a new manager in place, the Toros are still struggling on the back end, while the Timbers are littered with attacking qualities that should propel them to another comfortable triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawPortland Timbers
46.11% (-0.591 -0.59) 23.8% (0.237 0.24) 30.09% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.628 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (-0.921 -0.92)42.01% (0.92 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (-0.933 -0.93)64.42% (0.931 0.93)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)18.45% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-1.019 -1.02)49.63% (1.018 1.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (-0.232 -0.23)26.62% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (-0.307 -0.31)61.86% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 46.11%
    Portland Timbers 30.09%
    Draw 23.79%
DallasDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.2 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.067 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.09%

How you voted: Dallas vs Portland

Dallas
31.1%
Draw
8.9%
Portland Timbers
60.0%
45
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2023 3am
Portland
1-0
Dallas
Boli (35')
Evander (16'), Chara (71'), Paredes (90+6'), Loria (90+8')

Obrian (45'), Cerrillo (46'), Jesus (71')
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Aug 7, 2022 3.30am
Mar 20, 2022 12.30am
Dallas
4-1
Portland
Ferreira (26', 30', 36'), Arriola (77')
Niezgoda (61')
Jul 18, 2021 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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