Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
29.93% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 44.44% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( 0.02) | 50.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( 0.01) | 72.12% ( -0.02) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( -0) | 30.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( -0) | 67.11% ( -0) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 0.02) | 22.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( 0.02) | 56.08% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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