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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Boavista

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista

Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Boavista

Despite their disappointing performance, last weekend's draw saw Estrela end a three-game losing streak and they will head into Sunday's tie looking to build on that result. The Tricolores take on an out-of-sorts Boavista side and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
29.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.012 0.01)72.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 29.93%
    Boavista 44.43%
    Draw 25.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Boavista

Estrela Amadora
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Boavista
26.7%
30
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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