Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
55.86% ( -0.5) | 24.56% ( 0.13) | 19.57% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.59% ( -0.04) | 54.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% ( -0.03) | 75.78% ( 0.03) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( -0.21) | 19.39% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( -0.34) | 51.2% ( 0.34) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% ( 0.39) | 42.37% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% ( 0.33) | 78.76% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |