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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.23% ( -0.39) | 19.71% ( 0.38) | 16.06% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.05% ( -1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( -1.83) | 39.55% ( 1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.1% ( -1.93) | 61.89% ( 1.92) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% ( -0.64) | 11.64% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% ( -1.39) | 36.67% ( 1.38) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( -1.13) | 37.7% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( -1.12) | 74.48% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.22% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |