Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
25.11% ( -0.23) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 50.62% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( -0.16) | 47.57% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -0.15) | 69.77% ( 0.15) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% ( -0.28) | 33.18% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -0.31) | 69.78% ( 0.31) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.03) | 18.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.05) | 50.24% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |