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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Sunderland

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

 Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
43.17% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 23.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 33.14% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.211 0.21)40.16% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.217 0.22)62.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.102 0.1)50.42% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.158 0.16)23.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.222 0.22)58.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.17%
    Sunderland 33.14%
    Draw 23.68%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich Town
69.6%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-2
Ipswich
Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')
Hume (72')
Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ipswich
1-1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Sunderland
2-0
Ipswich
O'Nien (85'), McGeady (90+3' pen.)
Evans (20'), Gooch (34'), Stewart (64'), Winchester (81')

Celina (55')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
0-1
Sunderland

Ward (70'), Dozzell (82')
Jackson (10')
Wyke (45+1')
Winchester (40')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
2-1
Ipswich
Wyke (8'), Leadbitter (84' pen.)
Leadbitter (78'), Hume (82')
Lankester (38')
McGuinness (84')
Dozzell (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213
> Championship Full Table


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