Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.34% ( 1) | 22.35% ( 0.57) | 58.32% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.13% ( -0.97) | 45.87% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.82% ( -0.92) | 68.18% ( 0.92) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.31% ( 0.53) | 37.69% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.53% ( 0.52) | 74.46% ( -0.52) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.58% ( -0.83) | 15.42% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.76% ( -1.58) | 44.24% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.34% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |