MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:32:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
72.3% (0.249 0.25) 17.9% (0.17 0.17) 9.8% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.949 -1.95)46.55% (1.952 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.858 -1.86)68.83% (1.86 1.86)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)11.47% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-1.034 -1.03)36.31% (1.037 1.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (-2.097 -2.1)52.15% (2.1 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (-1.407 -1.41)86.1% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.29%
    Millwall 9.8%
    Draw 17.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.81 0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.2%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!