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Le Havre
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre

 Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
57.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.044 0.04)71.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.041 0.04)76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.27%
    Le Havre 19.54%
    Draw 23.17%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.54%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
91.9%
Draw
2.7%
Le Havre
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')
Mar 28, 2019
12am
Lens  
vs.
  Le Havre
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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