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Mansfield Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Stevenage

Mansfield
0 - 1
Stevenage


Cargill (24'), Reed (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (32')
Wildin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 1-0 Stevenage

Stevenage are tough to break down, and it would not be a surprise to see a goalless draw on Saturday afternoon. Mansfield are on a roll at the moment, though, and we fancy them to navigate their way to a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
43.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65) 25.28% (-0.301 -0.3) 31.45% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (1.177 1.18)48.05% (-1.177 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (1.07 1.07)70.22% (-1.07 -1.07)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.81700000000001 0.82)22.16% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (1.215 1.22)55.56% (-1.215 -1.22)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.355 0.36)28.73% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.441 0.44)64.56% (-0.441 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 43.26%
    Stevenage 31.45%
    Draw 25.27%
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Stevenage

Mansfield Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Stevenage
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
2-0
Stevenage
Lapslie (51'), Longstaff (90+3')
Perch (15'), Maris (21')

Taylor (43'), Andrade (87')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
1-2
Mansfield
Cuthbert (55')
Vancooten (85'), Norris (90+1')
O'Toole (19'), Stirk (65')
Hawkins (12'), Stirk (90+4'), O'Toole (90+7')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Stevenage
0-1
Mansfield

Vancooten (21')
Sweeney (24')
Lapslie (14'), Maris (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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