Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
50.03% ( 2.63) | 21.05% ( -0.18) | 28.91% ( -2.45) |
Both teams to score 69.28% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.68% ( -0.63) | 29.32% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.63% ( -0.77) | 50.37% ( 0.77) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% ( 0.57) | 12.34% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.84% ( 1.18) | 38.16% ( -1.18) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( -1.65) | 20.97% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% ( -2.65) | 53.73% ( 2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.21) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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