Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
51.37% ( 0.09) | 22.49% ( -0.02) | 26.14% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( 0.02) | 38.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( 0.02) | 60.97% ( -0.02) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% ( 0.04) | 15.23% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.1% ( 0.08) | 43.89% ( -0.07) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( -0.04) | 27.63% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( -0.05) | 63.18% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |