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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
West Brom

Rogers (40')
Howson (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

In theory, Middlesbrough should be full of confidence following their EFL Cup success on Tuesday, but a fresh wave of injury concerns threaten to hinder the hosts this weekend. West Brom have not been at their best since the 2-0 win over Ipswich Town last month, although the Baggies should be good enough for a point at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 26.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (-0.146 -0.15)50.42% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.128 -0.13)72.35% (0.127 0.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)25.29% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)60.06% (0.052 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.123 -0.12)27.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.156 -0.16)63.31% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.84%
    Draw 26.02%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
32.7%
Draw
36.7%
West Bromwich Albion
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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