Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
19.81% ( -0.07) | 21.83% ( -0.05) | 58.36% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( 0.1) | 42.91% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.69% ( 0.1) | 65.31% ( -0.1) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% ( -0.01) | 35.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% ( -0.01) | 72.24% ( 0.01) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.6% ( 0.07) | 14.41% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% ( 0.14) | 42.32% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.81% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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