Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.