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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.51% ( 0.3) | 19.85% ( -0.13) | 23.64% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 68.42% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.73% ( 0.45) | 28.27% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.92% ( 0.55) | 49.08% ( -0.55) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.77% ( 0.22) | 10.23% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.45% ( 0.49) | 33.55% ( -0.49) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% ( 0.13) | 23.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% ( 0.19) | 57.94% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.72% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |