Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.