We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Tamworth
Tamworth showed in the FA Cup that they are capable of rising to the occasion when faced with higher-quality opponents. However, on this occasion, we feel that Oldham will do enough to edge their way to victory, potentially by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.