Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.