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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.18% ( -0.01) | 25.25% ( -0.01) | 43.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.95% ( 0.01) | 48.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.01) | 70.21% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0) | 28.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0) | 64.78% ( 0) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% ( 0.01) | 22.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.65% ( 0.02) | 55.34% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |