MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:59:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Rio Ave

Portimonense
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Carlinhos (63'), Varela (90+7')
Carlinhos (82'), Estrela (90+5'), Davis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oudrhiri (21'), Pantalon (83')
Manuel (89'), Boateng (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-1 Rio Ave

This is arguably the biggest game of the season for Portimonense, who will know that anything less than three points will likely see them end the season in the relegation playoff, or worse. Unfortunately for the hosts, they are facing a Rio Ave side that are unbeaten in 10 league games, holding the likes of Sporting and Braga to draws in that time. This should be an intriguing contest, but we feel both sides will have to settle for a point apiece at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
25.94% (-0.715 -0.72) 26.76% (0.318 0.32) 47.3% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-1.458 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-1.611 -1.61)56.76% (1.614 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (-1.308 -1.31)77.7% (1.31 1.31)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-1.487 -1.49)37.47% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-1.489 -1.49)74.25% (1.492 1.49)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.511 -0.51)24.01% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.736 -0.74)58.27% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 25.94%
    Rio Ave 47.3%
    Draw 26.76%
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.94%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Rio Ave

Portimonense
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Rio Ave
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 16
Rio Ave
2-0
Portimonense
Boateng (54'), Manuel (89')
Sa (30')

Dener (76'), Ventura (78'), Pedrao (82')
Apr 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
2-2
Rio Ave
Junior (82', 90+7')
Patrick (19'), Costinha (74')
Oct 24, 2022 8.15pm
May 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 30
Portimonense
0-0
Rio Ave
Dener (89'), Ewerton (90+2')
Jan 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Rio Ave
3-0
Portimonense
Pele (51' pen.), Meshino (54'), Mane (78')

Moufi (50'), Antonio (84'), Medeiros (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!