Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
19.42% ( 0.24) | 20.39% ( -0.06) | 60.2% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 59.64% ( 0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.22% ( 0.69) | 36.78% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.05% ( 0.74) | 58.95% ( -0.74) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( 0.64) | 32.3% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( 0.72) | 68.8% ( -0.72) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.1% ( 0.17) | 11.9% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.76% ( 0.35) | 37.24% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 4.28% Total : 60.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |