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Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 2
Ajax


van Gelderen (20'), Meijers (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Traore (76'), Godts (90+4')
Brobbey (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Besiktas
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Ajax

With momentum from a dominant midweek continental victory and the need to build a winning run in their bid to regain the Eredivisie title, Ajax should have more than enough to cruise past an RKC Waalwijk side devoid of any confidence at the start of the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
19.42% (0.241 0.24) 20.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 60.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.64% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.687 0.69)36.78% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05% (0.742 0.74)58.95% (-0.738 -0.74)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.645 0.64)32.3% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.721 0.72)68.8% (-0.71900000000001 -0.72)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.166 0.17)11.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (0.346 0.35)37.24% (-0.344 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 19.42%
    Ajax 60.2%
    Draw 20.39%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.23% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.42%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.95% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.72% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.29% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.057 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 60.2%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
6.1%
Draw
10.2%
Ajax
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
Kramer (15')
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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