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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
36.2% ( -0.03) | 25.55% ( -0.01) | 38.25% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% ( 0.02) | 48.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.65% ( 0.02) | 70.35% ( -0.02) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% ( -0.01) | 60.87% ( 0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( 0.04) | 59.3% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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