Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
29.5% ( 0.19) | 26.4% ( -0.35) | 44.1% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( 1.45) | 53.49% ( -1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( 1.21) | 75.01% ( -1.21) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( 0.9) | 32.87% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( 0.99) | 69.44% ( -0.99) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( 0.72) | 24.12% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( 1.02) | 58.42% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |