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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

While Athletic may be unbeaten in 10 competitive matches, they have had to settle for draws in their last two away games in La Liga, and we think that they will have to be content with a point when they face a Sevilla side that has drawn four of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
33.69% (2.059 2.06) 26.35% (0.78 0.78) 39.95% (-2.837 -2.84)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-1.879 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-2.721 -2.72)51.97% (2.722 2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-2.402 -2.4)73.71% (2.404 2.4)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)65.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-2.649 -2.65)25.56% (2.651 2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-3.757 -3.76)60.42% (3.758 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.69%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.95%
    Draw 26.35%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.953 0.95)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.585 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
23.5%
Draw
22.7%
Athletic Bilbao
53.8%
132
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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