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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Port Vale

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

 Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
39.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 26.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.41% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.02 0.02)72.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)59.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 39.41%
    Port Vale 34.57%
    Draw 26.01%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Shrewsbury
3-2
Port Vale
Dunkley (27'), Leahy (33'), Phillips (43')
Politic (13'), Proctor (52')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Shrewsbury
0-4
Port Vale
Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Harrison (9', 90+1')
Saydee (19')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
2-1
Shrewsbury
Amoo (63' pen.), Archer (75')
Kennedy (27' og.)
Love (69')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Port Vale
1-1
Shrewsbury
 Port Vale win 4-3 on penalties
Pope (83')
Gibbons (51'), Rawlinson (60')
Sears (63')
Rowland (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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