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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Farense logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Farense

Braganca (11'), Gyokeres (29'), Goncalves (53')
St Juste (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Belloumi (32'), Luis (50')
Isidoro (22'), Muscat (40'), Luis (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 SC Farense

Sporting could be tired after their domestic cup exertions against their city rivals Benfica, but they should possess far too much individual quality for Farense to cope with. The visitors have dipped in recent weeks after making a decent start to life back in the top flight following their promotion last season, and they would likely settle for suffering a defeat as narrow as possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
87.04% (0.63000000000001 0.63) 8.84% (-0.233 -0.23) 4.12% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-2.636 -2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.61% (-1.144 -1.14)24.39% (1.147 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.88% (-1.526 -1.53)44.11% (1.528 1.53)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.34% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)3.66% (0.091 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.24% (-0.298 -0.3)15.75% (0.303 0.3)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-2.69 -2.69)52.09% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.93% (-1.826 -1.83)86.07% (1.829 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 87.02%
    SC Farense 4.12%
    Draw 8.84%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
3-0 @ 11.49% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.632 0.63)
4-0 @ 9.51% (0.445 0.44)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.43 0.43)
5-0 @ 6.29% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 4.11% (-0.158 -0.16)
6-0 @ 3.47% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.26 -0.26)
6-1 @ 2.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
7-0 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 87.02%
1-1 @ 4.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.91% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.84%
1-2 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 4.12%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Farense

Sporting Lisbon
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
SC Farense
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
4-2
Farense
Gyokeres (24', 28' pen., 63'), Santos (56')
Reis (14')
Oliveira (49'), Goncalves (79')
Sep 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Farense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Oliveira (37', 55')
Belloumi (58'), Oliveira (63'), Luis (85'), Velho (88'), Jorge (90+3')
Silva (18')
Gyokeres (21' pen., 90'), Goncalves (35')
Hjulmand (36'), Santos (53'), Braganca (84'), Inacio (85'), Goncalves (88'), Morita (90+4')
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
6-0
Farense
Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
Apr 16, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 27
Farense
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Gauld (90+3')
Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Farense
Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
10FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
11Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
12Gil Vicente174761926-719
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16AVS172961324-1115
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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