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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
37.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 37.22%
    Stoke City 37.78%
    Draw 25%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Stoke City
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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