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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
SV Darmstadt

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Darmstadt

Hollerbach (62')
Trimmel (77'), Vogt (81'), Schafer (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zimmermann (75'), Gjasula (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

 Union Berlin have brought in several new faces in the January transfer window, with Bjelica desperate to improve his side's form. However, it could take time for some of these players to bed in, even if they should have enough quality to survive in the end. Darmstadt are a difficult team to read, but ultimately they are struggling to win games at this level for one reason in particular: their inability to keep clean sheets. We expect them to put up another fight on Sunday, but ultimately fall to a damaging defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSV Darmstadt 98
58.81% (0.169 0.17) 22.04% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 19.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (0.17599999999999 0.18)44.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.169 0.17)67.16% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (0.11499999999999 0.11)14.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.75% (0.217 0.22)43.25% (-0.216 -0.22)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73%37.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 58.8%
    SV Darmstadt 98 19.15%
    Draw 22.04%
Union BerlinDrawSV Darmstadt 98
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.8%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Darmstadt

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
17.9%
SV Darmstadt 98
1.8%
56
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
SV Darmstadt 98
1-4
Union Berlin
Mehlem (24')
Mehlem (34'), Manu (44')
Gosens (4', 34'), Behrens (39'), Doekhi (65')
Aaronson (5')
Aaronson (21')
> Preview
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
SV Darmstadt 98
2-1
Union Berlin
Stark (49'), Wittek (77')
Mehlem (60')
Andersson (87')
Zulj (69')
Dec 1, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 15
Union Berlin
3-1
SV Darmstadt 98
Andersson (28', 42'), Sulu (65' og.)
Dursun (73')
Sulu (44')
Apr 28, 2018 12pm
SV Darmstadt 98
3-1
Union Berlin
Holland (12'), Platte (22', 35')
Parensen (87')
Furstner (9'), Trimmel (21'), Prince Redondo (80')
Nov 24, 2017 5.30pm
Union Berlin
3-3
SV Darmstadt 98
Promel (39'), Polter (58' pen.), Rosenthal (90' og.)
Promel (2'), Daube (45')
Boyd (51' og., 62'), Kempe (66' pen.)
Sirigu (18'), Banggaard (27'), Boyd (29'), Altintop (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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