MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 07:18:38| >> :600:105528:105528:
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Campo Do Calvario
Gil Vicente logo

Vila Real
0 - 2
Gil Vicente


Iliya (31'), Martins Mateus (74'), Kazu (76'), Paulo Oliveira Neto (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carlos (70'), Mboula (87')
Muhammad (77'), Mboula (80')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Vila Real and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vila Real 2-0 Atletico Arcos
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vila Real had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.73%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Vila Real win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Vila RealDrawGil Vicente
12.74% (0.055 0.05) 21.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 65.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 41.42% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.187 -0.19)53.37% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-0.16 -0.16)74.91% (0.155 0.16)
Vila Real Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)51% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)85.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.11 -0.11)15.47% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.2 -0.2)44.34% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Vila Real 12.74%
    Gil Vicente 65.86%
    Draw 21.39%
Vila RealDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.74%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 14.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 13.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 65.86%

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