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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

 Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.42% (0.106 0.11) 23.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.93% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.095999999999997 0.1)48.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)67.67% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.42%
    Swansea City 25.76%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Swansea City
34.3%
108
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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