Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Reims had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Reims |
46.5% ( -0.4) | 24.16% ( 0.12) | 29.34% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( -0.4) | 44.08% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.54% ( -0.39) | 66.46% ( 0.39) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -0.32) | 19.11% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% ( -0.53) | 50.73% ( 0.53) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% ( -0.02) | 63.85% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |