Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
51.32% ( -0.02) | 22.24% ( 0.32) | 26.44% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 62.55% ( -1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% ( -1.8) | 37.19% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.6% ( -1.97) | 59.4% ( 1.98) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( -0.65) | 14.72% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.07% ( -1.25) | 42.93% ( 1.26) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -1.16) | 26.64% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( -1.56) | 61.88% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.23% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |