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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Colorado Rapids

Austin
3 - 2
Colorado

Driussi (8' pen.), Finlay (90+1'), Hines-Ike (90+3')
Cascante (3'), Jimenez (28'), Ring (45+4'), Svatok (61'), Gallagher (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Navarro (42'), Fernandez (75' pen.)
Abubakar (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Colorado Rapids

On one side, Austin will just want to end another disappointing campaign, while the Rapids are looking to avoid any serious injuries heading into the post-season, so we do not expect a very entertaining match between the two this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
51.32% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.24% (0.32 0.32) 26.44% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-1.47 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.81% (-1.803 -1.8)37.19% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-1.973 -1.97)59.4% (1.975 1.98)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.646 -0.65)14.72% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-1.254 -1.25)42.93% (1.255 1.26)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-1.157 -1.16)26.64% (1.158 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (-1.555 -1.56)61.88% (1.557 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 51.32%
    Colorado Rapids 26.44%
    Draw 22.24%
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 51.32%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.324 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.335 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.085 -0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Austin vs Colorado

Austin FC
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Colorado Rapids
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 2.30am
Colorado
2-0
Austin
Bassett (22'), Navarro (49')

Obrian (46'), Ring (64')
Oct 1, 2023 2.30am
Colorado
1-0
Austin
Maxso (41')
Bombito (32'), Yapi (76')

Bruin (88'), Rigoni (90+1')
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
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