Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
48.33% ( 0.13) | 25.22% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% ( -0.14) | 50.52% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% ( -0.12) | 72.44% ( 0.12) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% ( 0) | 20.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.34% ( 0) | 53.65% ( -0) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( -0.19) | 33.66% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( -0.21) | 70.31% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |